On paper, Trump and Harris could not be more different. Whether it is taxes or trade, the candidates have widely contrasting views. Even when there is rare alignment, like over China, it is short-lived, as the contenders disagree on how serious a threat China is compared to other challenges, like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine or Iran’s nuclear development.
As US voters weigh the pros and cons of each candidate, capitals around the world are doing the same. From allies to adversaries, governments are asking one question: which candidate’s ideas are better for them?
At first glance, this may seem like an easy answer, a “no-brainer.”
To put it mildly, compared to Trump, Harris is more tame. While Trump will rewire the world, Harris will maintain the status quo. Being predictable, and therefore reliable, is what most nations look for on the world stage. The opposite, being full of surprises, especially as the world’s most powerful nation, is what scares many governments. This is why Germany has a team actively formulating strategies and scenarios for a potential Trump return.
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